Crop Monitor for Early Warning | No. 83 – June 2023 - World

Overview:

In East Africa, conditions are mostly favourable for both Belg and Meher season cereals in Ethiopia due to beneficial rains received. In the south, planting and development of main season cereals continues under mixed conditions with some improvement due to enhanced rains across parts of the region (See Regional Outlook Pg. 6). In West Africa, planting and development of main season cereals continues under generally favourable conditions except in parts of Mali and Guinea-Bissau experiencing delayed rains and in areas impacted by persistent conflict. In the Middle East and North Africa, wheat harvesting is ramping up with ongoing mixed conditions and below-average yields expected in parts of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Syria, and Iraq due to persistent dryness throughout the season, and near total crop failure is expected in some localized areas. In Southern Africa, harvesting of main season cereals has mostly completed under mixed conditions. Crop failure has resulted in Southern Malawi due to storm damage and northern Namibia due to persistent dry and hot conditions, and dry conditions are also likely to impact yields in parts of Angola, Botswana, Zambia, and Mozambique.

In Central and South Asia, harvesting of winter wheat is underway, and persistent dryness is causing concern in Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. The 2023-2024 wet season is expected to be wetter than normal due to the expected shift to El Niño (See Climate Influences Pg. 3). In Southeast Asia, harvesting of dry-season rice is nearing completion in the north under favourable conditions except in parts of western Myanmar impacted by Cyclone Mocha. In Indonesia, harvesting of wet-season rice continues under favourable conditions. In Central America and the Caribbean, dry and hot conditions continue to cause concern in Guatemala, northern Honduras, eastern Nicaragua, and Haiti and are forecast to continue during the next several months with the likely development of an El Niño event (See Climate Influences Pg. 3 and Regional Outlook Pg. 15). Crops in Cuba are benefitting from abundant precipitation in April and May.